Sri Lanka is carrying a flood emergency and a drought emergency at the same time. The Disaster Management Centre says the current spell of heavy rain has affected 4,363 people in 17 districts, while 164,348 people in 12 other districts are still short of water.

Four people have died and eight have been injured in incidents caused by the rain, the DMC said in figures reported by NewsFirst. The rain-affected total covers 1,190 families.

The dry-weather caseload is far larger in headcount: 164,348 people from 49,796 families across 12 districts.

Both counts are moving, in opposite directions

Set against the DMC’s own recent reporting, the two emergencies are diverging.

MeasurePrevious DMC countNow
Rain-affected3,495 people, 15 districts (27 September)4,363 people, 17 districts
Deaths from rain34
Dry-weather affected169,071 people, 10 districts (20 September)164,348 people, 12 districts

The wet-weather caseload has grown by roughly a quarter in eight days and spread to two more districts. The drought caseload has fallen by about 4,700 people — but is now spread across two more districts than before, which means the decline is not simply a matter of the rain arriving where the drought was.

That pattern is consistent with the warning the UN Resident Coordinator’s office and the Meteorology Department both gave in late September, that Sri Lanka was moving from an El Niño dry phase into an October–November period of above-normal rainfall and flood risk, without the two overlapping neatly in time or place.

The rain is already disrupting services

The wet spell is doing visible damage beyond the DMC’s affected-persons count. Earlier today a Colombo-bound train from Peradeniya Junction derailed between Gangoda and Kadigamuwa after soil and rock fell onto the main line, which reports attributed to heavy rainfall.

The National Building Research Organisation has had landslide warnings in force for divisional secretariat areas across several districts since the weekend.

Not reported

The DMC figures as published do not break down which 17 districts are rain-affected or which 12 are under dry-weather stress, so the overlap between the two lists cannot be established. No district-level worst-affected ranking is given for either count, and no house-damage figure is attached to the rain total — earlier DMC releases in this spell did carry one. The circumstances of the four deaths are not described, and no figure is given for how many of the drought-affected are receiving trucked drinking water, which the DMC has reported in previous updates.

Only NewsFirst had filed an English-language account of this DMC update at the time of writing; neither the Daily Mirror’s latest-news listing nor Hiru’s English homepage carried it, and the DMC’s own website does not publish the situation-report figures on its front page.